Very interesting. I definitely agree with you on DRM, landlines, and incandescent lights. But it seems like we have a long way to go before we won't need any physical media at all. Would that include portable drives like thumbdrives? And although I hate to admit it, both of my jobs post college have used fax machines all day every day for contracts, etc. A paperless office could happen in 10 years, but it seems everyone has been talking for it for about 8 years now and it's barely gone down.
No, definitely not thumb drives. I think you're right, "physical media" is definitely the boldest choice. It ignores the fact that many low-income people can't afford computers, mp3 players, home theaters hooked up to the internet, etc. But I think the price of these things is going to keep falling, so it's a possibility.
I don't think paper will ever disappear. But email has GOT to conquer fax machines in the next 10 years. Why would a new business buy one? Or a landline, for that matter?
i think faxes answer a very specific need: contractual correspondence on which a person must authorize some agreement via signature. until we have a widepsread adoption of digital signatures (that will hold up in the court of law) i see us hanging onto fax machines (regretably).
Yes, and I think this could easily happen in 10 years. There is NO difference between me getting a fax, signing it, and returning it, and me opening an email, signing it digitally, and emailing it back.
If we can create and adopt the debit card in 10 years, surely we can do the same with a technology to replace the last dying use of fax machines.
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Why are fax machines still around? I've seen a few lately and each time I have to ask why?
ReplyDeleteVery interesting. I definitely agree with you on DRM, landlines, and incandescent lights. But it seems like we have a long way to go before we won't need any physical media at all. Would that include portable drives like thumbdrives? And although I hate to admit it, both of my jobs post college have used fax machines all day every day for contracts, etc. A paperless office could happen in 10 years, but it seems everyone has been talking for it for about 8 years now and it's barely gone down.
ReplyDeleteNo, definitely not thumb drives. I think you're right, "physical media" is definitely the boldest choice. It ignores the fact that many low-income people can't afford computers, mp3 players, home theaters hooked up to the internet, etc. But I think the price of these things is going to keep falling, so it's a possibility.
ReplyDeleteI don't think paper will ever disappear. But email has GOT to conquer fax machines in the next 10 years. Why would a new business buy one? Or a landline, for that matter?
I guess we'll see!
i think faxes answer a very specific need: contractual correspondence on which a person must authorize some agreement via signature. until we have a widepsread adoption of digital signatures (that will hold up in the court of law) i see us hanging onto fax machines (regretably).
ReplyDeleteYes, and I think this could easily happen in 10 years. There is NO difference between me getting a fax, signing it, and returning it, and me opening an email, signing it digitally, and emailing it back.
ReplyDeleteIf we can create and adopt the debit card in 10 years, surely we can do the same with a technology to replace the last dying use of fax machines.