Friday, October 22, 2010

Economics as Evidence of Redemption

For over a year now I've had this hunch about hope. I keep hearing these two ideas from two different schools of thought, and I wonder if we can draw a line between them.

The first idea is that despite the constant warnings of the doomsday prophets, the world is continually improving. This message is generally delivered by a small but optomistic group of classical economists, who point out that despite the war, famine, and slavery still present in our world, things are measurably better for almost every human being on earth than they were just a hundred years ago. I've shared articles and videos to this effect on this blog before, but here are a few new ones:
  • The world's poor are getting richer faster than its rich are getting richer. Per capita wealth in the richest countries is still 45 times that of the poorest countries, but a decade ago, wealthy countries had 135 times as much wealth. The population distribution of wealth in the world is changing so that most people live somewhere in the middle between the very rich and the very poor. This is further explained in this brilliant lecture, as well as this one, by everyone's favorite statistician, Hans Rosling (who fervently believes it is possible for us to conquer poverty).
  • Africa's economy is improving so rapidly that many are arguing we must view Africa as an investment and not a charity case. Again according to Hans Rosling, the improvement occurring in the developing world is vastly misunderstood and underestimated. Even the U.N. has not understood how quickly child mortality is dropping.
  • Writer Matt Ridley notes that in the past 50 years, the average per capita income of every person on earth has tripled, lifespan is up by 30%, child mortality is down by 2/3, and per capita food production is up by 1/3—all while the population has doubled. 
  • U.S. energy use (the biggest consumer of energy in the world) is dropping and shifting to renewables.
  • Each generation is better off than the one before it. In fact, an economics podcast I listen to recently conducted a poll and found that of the 3,500 people who participated, 2/3 would rather be middle-class in 2010 than rich in 1900.

The second idea comes from New Testament scholar N. T. Wright. I haven't yet read any of Wright's work (Surprised by Hope has been on my to-read list for some time), but I've been taught about his ideas a good bit, and one of them goes something like this: the resurrection was not merely the salvation of God's people from their sins, allowing them to one day fly away to glory once the troubles of this world have passed, but rather the earth-splitting beginning of God's redemption of the world. A new heaven and new earth are not far-off fantasies, they are a movement which God has begun, which we may (indeed, we must) take part in as his followers.

This theological position runs contrary to many of the protestant traditions I am familiar with, which see the world in a steady state of moral decay, evidenced by everything from war and famine to abortion and sex on T.V. But if we look at the grand, global, social and economic history of the world, we find ourselves in the middle of a long and steady improvement which has experienced a revolution of unbelievable acceleration in the last century or so. There is a great deal of evidence that there is much good at work in the world, and my faith compels me to acknowledge good work as the presence of God.

I have this hunch we have reason to hope.

Thanks to Dr. Buckley and J.H. Brookie for some of the links in this post.
Image: used with permission from J500 Media and the Environment

7 Comments:

  1. This was great, thanks for writing it. A great way to start my day.

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  2. Economics?! Religion?! Optimism?!

    Mr. Scott, you had me hope.

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  3. I'm not sure but I think that means you liked it. Awesome!

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  4. It's so important to take a step back and see the bigger picture and not just focus so much on what is right in front of us. Thanks for the reminder to do so.

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  5. I know I have personally seen the transformation of one small village in East Africa form a robbers den of poverty to a vibrant community of hope and promise. Interestingly though, the overall economic picture of the area, and of the country for that matter, has fallen in that same period.
    Though obviously a measure of hope is driven by economics, the hope in this village has been driven by one pastor with a vision for what God could do in that impossibly barren place, and by faith and belief in his people, it has happened...redemptive work as evidence of the expansion of his Kingdom now.

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  6. Great post! I happen to agree- although, say with Africa, the "spiritual" investments of evangelism, I think, should take the form of economic stimulus, so to speak. What I mean, is a clean water well and pump is so valuable to a person that drinks from a stream that is also a sewer. The investments need to be sustainable. But basically, if you could build an infrastructure overnight in Africa, I.e. Paved roads, clean water/sanitation, waste disposal, and a power grid, I think Africa could compete on the world scene economically and be way beyond providing for itself. But if every few years a war breaks out and they destroy/ limit the expansion of infrastructure, little progress is made. But even despite that what you're saying is it's getting better. It's getting better all the time.

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